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Bayesian model averaging with non-conjugate priors

采用非共轭先验的贝叶斯模型平均

This paper considers the case of non-conjugate prior distributions for Bayesian model averaging (BMA). Although the natural conjugate setting is the default choice for BMA, mainly for reasons of analytical tractability, it has come under considerable criticism due to its unrealistic assumptions about prior information, among others. In this study, we extend the literature by considering two special cases of the multivariate Student-t distribution. We obtain closed-form…

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The good, the bad and the technology: Endogeneity in environmental production models

好产出、坏产出与技术:环境生产模型中的内生性

In this paper we consider an environmental production process in which firms intend to produce outputs (which we label as desirable/good) but the production process is such that it automatically produces some other unintentional but inevitable undesirable (bad) outputs as by-products (emission of pollutants). Like stochastic production frontier, by-production technology specifies that there is a minimal amount of the by-product that is produced, given the quantities of…

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FIRM HETEROGENEITY, PERSISTENT AND TRANSIENT TECHNICAL INEFFICIENCY: A GENERALIZED TRUE RANDOM‐EFFECTS model

企业异质性、持续与暂时技术无效率:广义真实随机效应模型

SUMMARY This paper considers a panel data stochastic frontier model that disentangles unobserved firm effects (firm heterogeneity) from persistent (time‐invariant/long‐term) and transient (time‐varying/short‐term) technical inefficiency. The model gives us a four‐way error component model, viz., persistent and time‐varying inefficiency, random firm effects and noise. We use Bayesian methods of inference to provide robust and efficient methods of estimating inefficiency…

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A zero inefficiency stochastic frontier model

允许零无效率的随机前沿模型

Traditional stochastic frontier models impose inefficient behavior on all firms in the sample of interest. If the data under investigation represent a mixture of both fully efficient and inefficient firms then off-the-shelf frontier models are statistically inadequate. We introduce the zero inefficiency stochastic frontier model which can accommodate the presence of both efficient and inefficient firms in the sample. We derive the corresponding log-likelihood function,…

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Maximum likelihood estimation of stochastic frontier models by the Fourier transform

利用傅里叶变换进行随机前沿模型的最大似然估计

The paper is concerned with several kinds of stochastic frontier models whose likelihood function is not available in closed form. First, with output-oriented stochastic frontier models whose one-sided errors have a distribution other than the standard ones (exponential or half-normal). The gamma and beta distributions are leading examples. Second, with input-oriented stochastic frontier models which are common in theoretical discussions but not in econometric applications.…

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Bayesian estimation approaches to first-price auctions

第一价格拍卖的贝叶斯估计方法

This paper considers Bayesian estimation strategies for first-price auctions within the independent private value paradigm. We develop an ‘optimization’ error approach that allows for estimation of values assuming that observed bids differ from optimal bids. We further augment this approach by allowing systematic over or underbidding by bidders using ideas from the stochastic frontier literature. We perform a simulation study to showcase the appeal of the method and apply…

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Stochastic error specification in primal and dual production systems

原始与对偶生产系统中的随机误差设定

In this paper we derive both primal and dual-cost systems in which the stochastic specifications arise from the model (random environment or measurement errors and optimization errors)—not tacked on at the end after the deterministic system is worked out. Derivation of the error structures is based on cost‐minimizing behavior on the firms. The primal systems constitute the production function and the first‐order conditions of cost minimization. We consider two dual‐cost…

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Inference in dynamic stochastic frontier models

动态随机前沿模型中的推断

Abstract An important issue in models of technical efficiency measurement concerns the temporal behaviour of inefficiency. Consideration of dynamic models is necessary but inference in such models is complicated. In this paper we propose a stochastic frontier model that allows for technical inefficiency effects and dynamic technical inefficiency, and use Bayesian inference procedures organized around data augmentation techniques to provide inferences. Also provided are…

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Stochastic frontier models with random coefficients

含随机系数的随机前沿模型

Abstract The paper proposes a stochastic frontier model with random coefficients to separate technical inefficiency from technological differences across firms, and free the frontier model from the restrictive assumption that all firms must share exactly the same technological possibilities. Inference procedures for the new model are developed based on Bayesian techniques, and computations are performed using Gibbs sampling with data augmentation to allow finite‐sample…

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