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GARCH(p,q) 模型的序贯变点检测AI 解读

We suggest a sequential monitoring scheme to detect changes in the parameters of a GARCH(p,q) sequence. The procedure is based on quasi-likelihood scores and does not use model residuals. Unlike for linear regression models, the squared residuals of nonlinear time series models such as generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) do not satisfy a functional central limit theorem with a Wiener process as a limit, so its boundary crossing probabilities…

随机删失下核密度估计Lp距离的中心极限定理AI 解读

A sequence of independent nonnegative random variables with common distribution function $F$ is censored on the right by another sequence of independent identically distributed random variables. These two sequences are also assumed to be independent. We estimate the density function $f$ of $F$ by a sequence of kernel estimators $f_n(t) = (\int^\infty_{-\infty}K((t - x)/h(n))d\hat{F}_n(x))/h(n),$ where $h(n)$ is a sequence of numbers, $K$ is kernel density function and $\hat{F}_n$…

均值变化最大似然检验的渐近分布AI 解读

For the maximum likelihood tests for a change in the mean of independent random variables, it is proved that the limit distribution is a double exponential, i.e. Gumbel, distribution. Our results also explain why the maximum likelihood methods are very powerful on the tails.

均值变化极大似然检验的渐近分布AI 解读

For the maximum likelihood tests for a change in the mean of independent random variables, it is proved that the limit distribution is a double exponential, i.e. Gumbel, distribution. Our results also explain why the maximum likelihood methods are very powerful on the tails.