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STATIONARY INTEGRATED ARCH(∞) AND AR(∞) PROCESSES WITH FINITE VARIANCE

具有有限方差的平稳整合 ARCH(∞) 与 AR(∞) 过程

We prove the long standing conjecture of Ding and Granger (1996) about the existence of a stationary Long Memory ARCH model with finite fourth moment. This result follows from the necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of covariance stationary integrated AR(∞), ARCH(∞), and FIGARCH models obtained in the present article. We also prove that such processes always have long memory.

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DETECTION OF NONCONSTANT LONG MEMORY PARAMETER

非恒定长记忆参数的检测

This article deals with detection of a nonconstant long memory parameter in time series. The null hypothesis presumes stationary or nonstationary time series with a constant long memory parameter, typically an I ( d ) series with d > −.5 . The alternative corresponds to an increase in persistence and includes in particular an abrupt or gradual change from I ( d 1 ) to I ( d 2 ), −.5 < d 1 < d 2 . We discuss several test statistics based on the ratio of forward and backward…

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AGGREGATION OF THE RANDOM COEFFICIENT GLARCH(1,1) PROCESS

随机系数 GLARCH(1,1) 过程的同期聚合

The paper discusses contemporaneous aggregation of the Linear ARCH (LARCH) model as defined in (1), which was introduced in Robinson (1991) and studied in Giraitis, Robinson, and Surgailis (2000) and other works. We show that the limiting aggregate of the (G)eneralized LARCH(1,1) process in (3)–(4) with random Beta distributed coefficient β exhibits long memory. In particular, we prove that squares of the limiting aggregated process have slowly decaying correlations and…

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REGRESSION MODEL FITTING WITH A LONG MEMORY COVARIATE PROCESS

长记忆协变量过程下的回归模型拟合检验

This paper proposes some tests for fitting a regression model with a long memory covariate process and with errors that form either a martingale difference sequence or a long memory moving average process, independent of the covariate. The tests are based on a partial sum process of the residuals from the fitted regression. The asymptotic null distribution of this process is discussed in some detail under each set of these assumptions. The proposed tests are shown to have…

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Asymptotic expansion of M-estimators with long-memory errors

长记忆误差下 M 估计量的渐近展开

This paper obtains a higher-order asymptotic expansion of a class of M-estimators of the one-sample location parameter when the errors form a long-memory moving average. A suitably standardized difference between an M-estimator and the sample mean is shown to have a limiting distribution. The nature of the limiting distribution depends on the range of the dependence parameter $\theta$. If, for example, $1/3 < \theta < 1$, then a suitably standardized difference between the…

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