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Optimal changepoint tests for normal linear regression

正态线性回归中的最优变点检验

This paper determines a class of finite-sample optimal tests for the existence of a changepoint at an unknown time in a normal linear multiple regression model with known variance. Optimal tests for multiple changepoints are also derived. It is shown that the results cover some models of cointegration. Power comparisons of several tests are provided based on simulations.

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Nonparametric Kernel Estimation for Semiparametric Models

用于半参数模型的非参数核估计

This paper presents a number of consistency results for nonparametric kernel estimators of density and regression functions and their derivatives. These results are particularly useful in semiparametric estimation and testing problems that rely on preliminary nonparametric estimators, as in Andrews (1994, Econometrica 62, 43–72). The results allow for near-epoch dependent, nonidentically distributed random variables, data-dependent bandwidth sequences, preliminary estimation…

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Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints

带端点约束的多项式分布滞后与超前项估计

This paper considers the use of the polynomial distributed lag (PDL) technique when the lag length is estimated rather than fixed. We focus on the case where the degree of the polynomial is fixed, the polynomial is constrained to be zero at a certain lag length q, and q is estimated along with the other parameters. We extend the traditional PDL setup by allowing q to be real-valued rather than integer-valued, and we derive the asymptotic covariance matrix of all the…

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Generic Uniform Convergence

通用一致收敛

This paper presents several generic uniform convergence results that include generic uniform laws of large numbers. These results provide conditions under which pointwise convergence almost surely or in probability can be strengthened to uniform convergence. The results are useful for establishing asymptotic properties of estimators and test statistics. The results given here have the following attributes, (1) they extendresults of Newey to cover convergence almost surely as…

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Asymptotic optimality of generalized C, cross-validation, and generalized cross-validation in regression with heteroskedastic errors

异方差回归中广义 CL、交叉验证与广义交叉验证的渐近最优性

The problem considered here is that of using a data-driven procedure to select a good estimate from a class of linear estimates indexed by a discrete parameter. In contrast to other papers on this subject, we consider models with heteroskedastic errors. The results apply to model selection problems in linear regression and to nonparametric regression estimation via series estimators, nearest-neighbor estimators, and local regression estimators, among others. Generalized CL…

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Additive Interactive Regression Models: Circumvention of the Curse of Dimensionality

加性交互回归模型:绕开维数灾难

This paper considers series estimators of additive interactive regression (AIR) models. AIR models are nonparametric regression models that generalize additive regression models by allowing interactions between different regressor variables. They place more restrictions on the regression function, however, than do fully nonparametric regression models. By doing so, they attempt to circumvent the curse of dimensionality that afflicts the estimation of fully non-parametric…

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Laws of Large Numbers for Dependent Non-Identically Distributed Random Variables

相依非同分布随机变量的大数定律

This paper provides L 1 and weak laws of large numbers for uniformly integrable L 1 -mixingales. The L 1 -mixingale condition is a condition of asymptotic weak temporal dependence that is weaker than most conditions considered in the literature. Processes covered by the laws of large numbers include martingale difference, ø(·), ρ(·), and α(·) mixing, autoregressive moving average, infinite-order moving average, near epoch dependent, L 1 -near epoch dependent, and mixingale…

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