Estimation of Autocorrelations of Survey Errors With Application to Trend Estimation in Small Areas
调查误差自相关的估计及其在小区域趋势估计中的应用
This article describes a simple method of estimating the autocorrelations of survey errors for the case of routing-panel sampling designs. Such designs are in routine use, for example, in labor force surveys (LFS). The survey-error autocorrelations induce spurious trends that need to be separated from the trend of the population values when the latter is of interest. This can be achieved by use of simple state-space models that combine the model holding for the population…