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Enhanced Power Enhancements for Testing Many Moment Equalities: Beyond the 2- and ∞-norm

多重矩等式检验的功效增强:超越二范数与无穷范数

Tests based on the 2- and ∞-norm have received considerable attention in high-dimensional testing problems, as they are powerful against dense and sparse alternatives, respectively. The power enhancement principle of Fan et al. (2015) combines these two norms to construct improved tests that are powerful against both types of alternatives. In the context of testing whether a candidate parameter satisfies a large number of moment equalities, we construct tests that harness…

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Regularizing fairness in optimal policy learning with distributional targets

分布目标下最优政策学习的公平性正则化

A decision maker typically (i) incorporates training data to learn about the relative effectiveness of treatments, and (ii) chooses an implementation mechanism that implies an “optimal” predicted outcome distribution according to some target functional. Nevertheless, a fairness-aware decision maker may not be satisfied achieving said optimality at the cost of being “unfair” against a subgroup of the population, in the sense that the outcome distribution in that subgroup…

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FUNCTIONAL SEQUENTIAL TREATMENT ALLOCATION WITH COVARIATES

含协变量的分布泛函序贯处理分配

We consider a sequential treatment problem with covariates. Given a realization of the covariate vector, instead of targeting the treatment with highest conditional expectation, the decision-maker targets the treatment which maximizes a general functional of the conditional potential outcome distribution, e.g., a conditional quantile, trimmed mean, or a socioeconomic functional such as an inequality, welfare, or poverty measure. We develop expected regret lower bounds for…

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HOW TO AVOID THE ZERO-POWER TRAP IN TESTING FOR CORRELATION

如何避免相关性检验中的零功效陷阱

In testing for correlation of the errors in regression models, the power of tests can be very low for strongly correlated errors. This counterintuitive phenomenon has become known as the “zero-power trap.” Despite a considerable amount of literature devoted to this problem, mainly focusing on its detection, a convincing solution has not yet been found. In this article, we first discuss theoretical results concerning the occurrence of the zero-power trap phenomenon. Then, we…

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Treatment recommendation with distributional targets

以分布目标为导向的治疗推荐

We study the problem of a decision maker who must provide the best possible treatment recommendation based on an experiment. The desirability of the outcome distribution resulting from the policy recommendation is measured through a functional capturing the distributional characteristic that the decision maker is interested in optimizing. This could be, e.g., its inherent inequality, welfare, level of poverty or its distance to a desired outcome distribution. If the…

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Functional Sequential Treatment Allocation

以分布泛函为目标的序贯处理分配

Consider a setting in which a policy maker assigns subjects to treatments, observing each outcome before the next subject arrives. Initially, it is unknown which treatment is best, but the sequential nature of the problem permits learning about the effectiveness of the treatments. While the multi-armed-bandit literature has shed much light on the situation when the policy maker compares the effectiveness of the treatments through their mean, much less is known about other…

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