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融贯且连续的推断
If the sampling model is a continuous function of the parameter and if either the parameter space or the observation space is compact, then a coherent inference which is a continuous function of the observation must be the posterior of a proper, countably additive prior.
用于抽样与预测推断的弥散模型
As a natural, intuitive model for inferences about certain characteristics of finite populations, Bruce Hill has proposed a sequence of exchangeable variables $X_1, \cdots, X_{n + 1}$ which have distinct values with probability one and have the property that, conditional on $X_1, \cdots, X_n$, the next observation $X_{n + 1}$ is equally likely to fall in any of the $n + 1$ intervals determined by $X_1, \cdots, X_n$. Harold Jeffreys had previously assumed such a model (in the…