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Estimation of Continuous-Time Markov Processes Sampled at Random Time Intervals

随机时间间隔采样下连续时间马尔可夫过程的估计

We introduce a family of generalized-method-of-moments estimators of the parameters of a continuous-time Markov process observed at random time intervals. The results include strong consistency, asymptotic normality, and a characterization of standard errors. Sampling is at an arrival intensity that is allowed to depend on the underlying Markov process and on the parameter vector to be estimated. We focus on financial applications, including tick-based sampling, allowing for…

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Term Structures of Credit Spreads with Incomplete Accounting Information

不完全会计信息下的信用利差期限结构

We study the implications of imperfect information for term structures of credit spreads on corporate bonds. We suppose that bond investors cannot observe the issuer's assets directly, and receive instead only periodic and imperfect accounting reports. For a setting in which the assets of the firm are a geometric Brownian motion until informed equityholders optimally liquidate, we derive the conditional distribution of the assets, given accounting data and survivorship.…

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Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-diffusions

仿射跳跃扩散的变换分析与资产定价

In the setting of ‘affine’ jump-diffusion state processes, this paper provides an analytical treatment of a class of transforms, including various Laplace and Fourier transforms as special cases, that allow an analytical treatment of a range of valuation and econometric problems. Example applications include fixed-income pricing models, with a role for intensity-based models of default, as well as a wide range of option-pricing applications. An illustrative example examines…

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Simulated Moments Estimation of Markov Models of Asset Prices

资产价格马尔可夫模型的模拟矩估计

This paper provides a simulated moments estimator of the parameters of dynamic models in which the state vector follows a time-homogeneous Markov process. Conditions are provided for both weak and strong consistency as well as asymptotic normality. Various trade-offs among the regularity conditions underlying the large sample properties of the simulated moments estimator are discussed in the context of an asset-pricing model. Geometric ergodicity of the underlying Markov…

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