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A general randomized test for Alpha

资产定价模型中 Alpha 的一般随机化检验

We propose a methodology to test for the null hypothesis that the alphas of a panel of asset returns are jointly equal to zero in a linear factor pricing model with observable and tradable factors — that is, the null of “zero alpha”. The test is based on equation-by-equation estimation, using a randomized version of the estimated alphas, which only requires rates of convergence. The distinct features of the proposed methodology are that it does not require the estimation of…

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Instability of Factor Strength in Asset Returns

资产收益中因子强度的不稳定性

We study the problem of detecting structural instability of factor strength in asset pricing models for financial returns with observable factors.We allow for strong and weaker factors, in which the sum of squared betas grows at a rate equal to and slower than the number of test assets, respectively: this growth rate determines the strength of the corresponding factor.We propose LM and Wald statistics for the null hypothesis of stability and derive their asymptotic…

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Modelling large dimensional datasets with Markov switching factor models

用马尔可夫转换因子模型刻画高维数据

We study a novel large dimensional approximate factor model with regime changes in the loadings driven by a latent first order Markov process. By exploiting the equivalent linear representation of the model, we first recover the latent factors by means of Principal Component Analysis. We then cast the model in state–space form, and we estimate loadings and transition probabilities through an EM algorithm based on a modified version of the Baum–Lindgren–Hamilton–Kim filter…

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