A Bayesian Data Analysis System for the Evaluation of Social Programs
用于社会项目评估的贝叶斯数据分析系统
The evaluation of social programs is typically hampered by serious methodological problems. Adopting the approach of Bayesian simultaneous estimation proposed by Lindley and Smith (1972) and operationally developed by Jackson, Novick, and Thayer (1971), Novick, Lewis, and Jackson (1973), and Lewis, Wang, and Novick (1975), we demonstrate how some of these problems can be avoided or solved. To accomplish this, we extend the operational method to marginal m-group mean analysis…