Cross-validation in nonparametric estimation of probabilities and probability densities
概率与概率密度非参数估计中的交叉验证
We examine large-sample properties of cross-validation for estimating cell probabilities, starting from a completely general measure of loss. Necessary and sufficient conditions on the loss function are derived for the resulting estimator to be consistent, or to minimize expected loss. These results reveal that cross-validation is extremely sensitive to the shape of the loss function. Nevertheless, when the loss function is chosen correctly, cross-validation can be relied on…