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X-DIFFERENCING AND DYNAMIC PANEL MODEL ESTIMATION

X 差分与动态面板模型估计

This paper introduces a new estimation method for dynamic panel models with fixed effects and AR( p ) idiosyncratic errors. The proposed estimator uses a novel form of systematic differencing, called X-differencing, that eliminates fixed effects and retains information and signal strength in cases where there is a root at or near unity. The resulting “panel fully aggregated” estimator (PFAE) is obtained by pooled least squares on the system of X-differenced equations. The…

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First difference maximum likelihood and dynamic panel estimation

一阶差分极大似然与动态面板估计

First difference maximum likelihood (FDML) seems an attractive estimation methodology in dynamic panel data modeling because differencing eliminates fixed effects and, in the case of a unit root, differencing transforms the data to stationarity, thereby addressing both incidental parameter problems and the possible effects of nonstationarity. This paper draws attention to certain pathologies that arise in the use of FDML that have gone unnoticed in the literature and that…

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Asymptotic distribution of factor augmented estimators for panel regression

面板回归中因子增广估计量的渐近分布

In this paper we derive an asymptotic theory for linear panel regression augmented with estimated common factors. We give conditions under which the estimated factors can be used in place of the latent factors in the regression equation. For the principal components estimate of the factor space it is shown that these conditions are satisfied when T/N→0 and N/T3→0 under regularity. Monte Carlo studies verify the asymptotic theory.

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GMM ESTIMATION FOR DYNAMIC PANELS WITH FIXED EFFECTS AND STRONG INSTRUMENTS AT UNITY

固定效应动态面板中在单位根处保持强工具的 GMM 估计

This paper develops new estimation and inference procedures for dynamic panel data models with fixed effects and incidental trends. A simple consistent GMM estimation method is proposed that avoids the weak moment condition problem that is known to affect conventional GMM estimation when the autoregressive coefficient ( ρ ) is near unity. In both panel and time series cases, the estimator has standard Gaussian asymptotics for all values of ρ ∈ (−1, 1] irrespective of how the…

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GAUSSIAN INFERENCE IN AR(1) TIME SERIES WITH OR WITHOUT A UNIT ROOT

有无单位根的 AR(1) 时间序列中的高斯推断

This paper introduces a simple first-difference-based approach to estimation and inference for the AR(1) model. The estimates have virtually no finite-sample bias and are not sensitive to initial conditions, and the approach has the unusual advantage that a Gaussian central limit theory applies and is continuous as the autoregressive coefficient passes through unity with a uniform $\sqrt{n}$ rate of convergence. En route, a useful central limit theorem (CLT) for sample…

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GMM with Many Moment Conditions

多矩条件下的广义矩估计

This paper provides a first order asymptotic theory for generalized method of moments (GMM) estimators when the number of moment conditions is allowed to increase with the sample size and the moment conditions may be weak. Examples in which these asymptotics are relevant include instrumental variable (IV) estimation with many (possibly weak or uninformed) instruments and some panel data models covering moderate time spans and with correspondingly large numbers of…

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Estimation of a panel data model with parametric temporal variation in individual effects

个体效应随时间参数化变化的面板数据模型估计

This paper is an extension of Ahn, Lee and Schmidt (2001) to allow a parametric function for time-varying coefficients on the individual effects. It is shown that the main results of Ahn, Lee and Schmidt (2001) hold for our model too. Least squares is consistent, given white noise errors, but less efficient than a GMM estimator. An application of the GMM estimators to the measurement of cost efficiency of Spanish banks is also included. The empirical study shows the…

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