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The Leverage Effect Puzzle under Semi-nonparametric Stochastic Volatility Models

半非参数随机波动率模型下的杠杆效应之谜

This article extends the solution proposed by Aït-Sahalia, Fan, and Li for the leverage effect puzzle, which refers to a fact that empirical correlation between daily asset returns and the changes of daily volatility estimated from high frequency data is nearly zero. Complementing the analysis in Aït-Sahalia, Fan, and Li via the Heston model, we work with a generic semi-nonparametric stochastic volatility model via an operator-based expansion method. Under such a general…

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Optimal covariance matrix estimation for high-dimensional noise in high-frequency data

高频数据中高维噪声协方差矩阵的最优估计

We consider high-dimensional measurement errors with high-frequency data. Our objective is on recovering the high-dimensional cross-sectional covariance matrix of the random errors with optimality. In this problem, not all components of the random vector are observed at the same time and the measurement errors are latent variables, leading to major challenges besides high data dimensionality. We propose a new covariance matrix estimator in this context with appropriate…

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A frequency domain analysis of the error distribution from noisy high-frequency data

含噪高频数据中误差分布的频域分析

Data observed at a high sampling frequency are typically assumed to be an additive composite of a relatively slow-varying continuous-time component, a latent stochastic process or smooth random function, and measurement error. Supposing that the latent component is an Itô diffusion process, we propose to estimate the measurement error density function by applying a deconvolution technique with appropriate localization. Our estimator, which does not require equally-spaced…

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A quasi-maximum likelihood approach for integrated covariance matrix estimation with high frequency data

利用高频数据估计积分协方差矩阵的准极大似然方法

Estimating the integrated covariance matrix (ICM) from high frequency financial trading data is crucial to reflect the volatilities and covariations of the underlying trading instruments. Such an objective is difficult due to contaminated data with microstructure noises, asynchronous trading records, and increasing data dimensionality. In this paper, we study a quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) approach for estimating an ICM from high frequency financial data. We explore a…

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Parameter estimation and bias correction for diffusion processes

扩散过程的参数估计与偏差修正

This paper considers parameter estimation for continuous-time diffusion processes which are commonly used to model dynamics of financial securities including interest rates. To understand why the drift parameters are more difficult to estimate than the diffusion parameter, as observed in previous studies, we first develop expansions for the bias and variance of parameter estimators for two of the most employed interest rate processes, Vasicek and CIR processes. Then, we…

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