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具有社群网络结构的高维多变量已实现波动率预测AI 解读

We introduce the Community Network Heterogeneous Autoregressive model with Quarticity (CNHARQ), a novel framework that integrates network-based information to enhance the forecasting of multivariate realized volatilities. To address the curse of dimensionality, we propose a Correlation-Based Stochastic Block Model (CBSBM) to uncover latent community structures from the correlation network of realized volatilities of N assets. This approach reduces the number of unknown…

高频数据中高维噪声协方差矩阵的最优估计AI 解读

We consider high-dimensional measurement errors with high-frequency data. Our objective is on recovering the high-dimensional cross-sectional covariance matrix of the random errors with optimality. In this problem, not all components of the random vector are observed at the same time and the measurement errors are latent variables, leading to major challenges besides high data dimensionality. We propose a new covariance matrix estimator in this context with appropriate…

大规模面板高频数据中全局与局部主成分分析的差异AI 解读

In this article, we study the discrepancy between the global principal component analysis (GPCA) and local principal component analysis (LPCA) in recovering the common components of a large-panel high-frequency data. We measure the discrepancy by the total sum of squared differences between common components reconstructed from GPCA and LPCA. The asymptotic distribution of the discrepancy measure is provided when the factor space is time invariant as the dimension p and…

利用大面板高频数据检验因子载荷矩阵的时不变性AI 解读

In this paper, we introduce a nonparametric test against the constancy of the factor loading matrix of a high-dimensional continuous-time factor model using high-frequency data. The central limit theorems on the test statistics with and without perturbation are established under the null hypothesis that the factor loading matrix is constant as time evolves. The tests perform well in size and power. Interestingly, the test statistic without perturbation converges at a rate…

利用高频数据估计积分协方差矩阵的准极大似然方法AI 解读

Estimating the integrated covariance matrix (ICM) from high frequency financial trading data is crucial to reflect the volatilities and covariations of the underlying trading instruments. Such an objective is difficult due to contaminated data with microstructure noises, asynchronous trading records, and increasing data dimensionality. In this paper, we study a quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) approach for estimating an ICM from high frequency financial data. We explore a…