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Inference for Multivariate Normal Hierarchical Models

多元正态层级模型的推断

Summary This paper provides a new method and algorithm for making inferences about the parameters of a two-level multivariate normal hierarchical model. One has observed J p-dimensional vector outcomes, distributed at level 1 as multivariate normal with unknown mean vectors and with known covariance matrices. At level 2, the unknown mean vectors also have normal distributions, with common unknown covariance matrix A and with means depending on known covariates and on unknown…

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Hierarchical Poisson Regression Modeling

层级泊松回归建模

The Poisson model and analyses here feature nonexchangeable gamma distributions (although exchangeable following a scale transformation) for individual parameters, with standard deviations proportional to means. A relatively uninformative prior distribution for the shrinkage values eliminates the ill behavior of maximum likelihood estimators of the variance components. When tested in simulation studies, the resulting procedure provides better coverage probabilities and…

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Choosing Between the Sample-Selection Model and the Multi-Part Model

样本选择模型与多部模型之间的选择

Hay and Olsen (1984) incorrectly argue that a multi-part model, the two-part model used in Duan et al. (1982,1983), is nested within the sample-selection model. Their proof relies on an unmentioned restrictive assumption that cannot be satisfied. We provide a counterexample to show that the propensity to use medical care and the level of expense can be positively associated in the two-part model, contrary to their assertion. The conditional specification in the multi-part…

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Natural Exponential Families with Quadratic Variance Functions: Statistical Theory

The normal, Poisson, gamma, binomial, negative binomial, and NEFGHS distributions are the six univariate natural exponential families (NEF) with quadratic variance functions (QVF). This sequel to Morris (1982) treats certain statistical topics that can be handled within this unified NEF-QVF formulation, including unbiased estimation, Bhattacharyya and Cramer-Rao lower bounds, conditional distributions and moments, quadratic regression, conjugate prior distributions, moments…

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Parametric Empirical Bayes Inference: Theory and Applications

参数经验贝叶斯推断:理论与应用

This article reviews the state of multiparameter shrinkage estimators with emphasis on the empirical Bayes viewpoint, particularly in the case of parametric prior distributions. Some successful applications of major importance are considered. Recent results concerning estimates of error and confidence intervals are described and illustrated with data.

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