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理性预期模型中的平稳泡沫均衡AI 解读

A linear rational expectation model with current expectations admits a unique linear stationary dynamic equilibrium only under specific restrictions on the parameter values. This paper shows that, in general, there is a multiplicity of stationary dynamic equilibria due to the existence of nonlinear stationary equilibria. These nonlinear stationary equilibria are consistent with the self-fulfilling prophecies that characterize the rational expectation equilibria, and can…

动态分位数模型AI 解读

This paper introduces the Dynamic Additive Quantile (DAQ) model that ensures the monotonicity of conditional quantile estimates. The DAQ model is easily estimable and can be used for computation and updating of the Value-at-Risk. An asymptotically efficient estimator of the DAQ is obtained by maximizing an objective function based on the inverse KLIC measure. An alternative estimator proposed in the paper is the Method of L-Moments estimator (MLM). The MLM estimator is…

共同根检验AI 解读

In this paper, the authors propose a simple procedure for testing the existence of common roots in lag polynomials. They first show, by using a generalized Bezout property, that this hypothesis can be put under a "mixed" form that is linear with respect to the auxiliary parameters and with respect to the initial parameters. It follows that the test procedures can be implemented only by using regressions packages. Copyright 1989 by The Econometric Society.

线性理性预期模型的解AI 解读

Linear rational expectations models generally have a large number of solutions. It is thus important to describe them exhaustively in order to study their properties and subsequently estimate which solution best fits the data. In this paper, a global approach is suggested allowing a simultaneous treatment of all possible cases. The fundamental concepts are the revision processes appearing in the procedure of updating expectations. It isfound that the set of solutions is…

序列相关的一般分析框架AI 解读

In this paper the testing and estimation problems are discussed in the case of serial correlation. Various models are particular cases of the general framework considered: the nonlinear simultaneous equations models, the probit models, the tobit models, the disequilibrium models, the frontier models, etc. In this context, it is shown that the score test can be written explicitly and that the statistic obtained is a generalization of that of Durbin and Watson; moreover, the…