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Asymptotic Behavior of Bayes Procedures for Testing Simple Hypotheses in Multiparameter Exponential Families

多参数指数族中简单假设贝叶斯检验的渐近行为

The asymptotic form of the Bayes acceptance region is derived for testing simple null-hypotheses in multiparameter exponential families. This result suggests a reasonable definition for tests which might be called "almost-Bayes". The rate at which the risk of the Bayes test converges to zero is obtained, showing the nature of its dependence on the prior distribution and providing a basis for comparison of almost-Bayes procedures. Concluding remarks contain a brief discussion…

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Asymptotic Behavior of Bayes Tests and Bayes Risk

贝叶斯检验与贝叶斯风险的渐近行为

In this paper the asymptotic behaviors of the Bayes test and Bayes risk are studied in both the one-sided and two-sided testing problems, where the independent observations are taken from one member of a one-parameter exponential family. Precise asymptotic expressions are found which show the Bayes procedure to be relatively insensitive to the prior distribution as the sample size increases to infinity.

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A Note on Two-Sided Confidence Intervals for Linear Functions of the Normal Mean and Variance

正态均值与方差线性函数的双侧置信区间札记

The confidence sets for linear functions $\mu + \lambda\sigma^2$ of the mean $\mu$ and variance $\sigma^2$ of a normal distribution, defined in terms of the uniformly most powerful unbiased level $\alpha$ tests of hypotheses of form $H_0(\lambda, m): \mu + \lambda\sigma^2 = m$ against the two-sided alternative $H_1(\lambda, m): \mu + \lambda\sigma^2 \neq m$ for $-\infty < m < \infty$, for fixed $\alpha$ and $\lambda$, are shown to be intervals if the number of degrees of…

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