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An Analysis of Speaking Fluency of Immigrants Using Ordered Response Models With Classification Errors

利用含分类错误的有序响应模型分析移民口语熟练度

We develop parametric models that incorporate misclassification error in an ordered response model and compare them with a semiparametric model that nests the parametric models. We apply these estimators to the analysis of English-speaking fluency of immigrants in the United Kingdom, focusing on Lazear's theory that due to learning or self-selection, there is a negative relation between speaking fluency and the ethnic minority concentration in the region. Specification tests…

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Comparing Predictions and Outcomes: Theory and Application to Income Changes

比较预期与实现结果:理论及收入变化应用

Household surveys often elicit respondents' intentions or predictions of future outcomes. The survey questions may ask respondents to choose among a selection of (ordered) response categories. If panel data or repeated cross-sections are available, then predictions may be compared with realized outcomes. The categorical nature of the predictions data complicates this comparison, however. Generalizing previous findings on binary intentions data, we derive bounds on features…

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Comparing Predictions and Outcomes: Theory and Application to Income Changes

预测与实现结果的比较:理论及收入变化应用

Household surveys often elicit respondents' intentions or predictions of future outcomes. The survey questions may ask respondents to choose among a selection of (ordered) response categories. If panel data or repeated cross-sections are available, then predictions may be compared with realized outcomes. The categorical nature of the predictions data complicates this comparison, however. Generalizing previous findings on binary intentions data, we derive bounds on features…

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Testing the predictive value of subjective labour supply data

检验主观劳动供给数据的预测价值

Empirical implementation of labour supply theories is usually based on actual hours of work. This requires strong assumptions on the impact of labour demand. To avoid these assumptions, subjective data on desired labour supply can be used. In this paper we investigate whether respondents' answers to survey questions on the desired number of working hours contain additional information on the respondents' preferences. Using panel data for the Netherlands, we analyse whether…

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Parametric and semi-parametric modelling of vacation expenditures

度假支出的参数与半参数建模

We analyse several limited dependent variable models explaining the budget share that Dutch families spend on vacations. To take account of the substantial number of zero shares, two types of models are used. The first is the single-equation censored regression model. We estimate and test several parametric and semiparametric extensions of the Tobit model. Second, we consider two-equation models, in which the participation decision and the decision on the amount to spend are…

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Parametric and semi‐parametric modelling of vacation expenditures

度假支出的参数与半参数建模

We analyse several limited dependent variable models explaining the budget share that Dutch families spend on vacations. To take account of the substantial number of zero shares, two types of models are used. The first is the single-equation censored regression model. We estimate and test several parametric and semiparametric extensions of the Tobit model. Second, we consider two-equation models, in which the participation decision and the decision on the amount to spend are…

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A micro‐econometric analysis of vacation behaviour

度假行为的微观计量分析

Abstract We present a micro‐econometric limited dependent variable model, which simultaneously explains the decision whether to go on vacation or not, the choice of destination and the decision on the level of the vacation expenditures. The model has been estimated on the basis of a cross‐section of Dutch households; we find a striking difference in income elasticity between domestic vacations and vacations abroad, and a large impact of owning certain durables (such as a…

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