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Front-Door Versus Back-Door Adjustment With Unmeasured Confounding: Bias Formulas for Front-Door and Hybrid Adjustments With Application to a Job Training Program

存在未测混杂时的前门与后门调整:前门及混合调整的偏差公式与职业培训应用

We demonstrate that the front-door adjustment can be a useful alternative to standard covariate adjustments (i.e., back-door adjustments), even when the assumptions required for the front-door approach do not hold. We do this by providing asymptotic bias formulas for the front-door approach that can be compared directly to bias formulas for the back-door approach. In some cases, this allows the tightening of bounds on treatment effects. We also show that under one-sided…

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Resolving Contested Elections: The Limited Power of Post-Vote Vote-Choice Data

解决选举争议:投票后投票选择数据的有限检验功效

In close elections, the losing side has an incentive to obtain evidence that the election result is incorrect. Sometimes this evidence comes in the form of court testimony from a sample of invalid voters, and this testimony is used to adjust vote totals (Borders v King County, 2005; Belcher v Mayor of Ann Arbor, 1978). However, while courts may be reluctant to make explicit findings about out-of-sample data (e.g. invalid voters that do not testify), when samples are used to…

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